The image of the snake eating its own tail arose this
morning as I read a story in The Wall
Street Journal telling me that world-wide PC sales are slumping, down 8.3
percent from 3Q 2011 to 3Q 2012. This comes despite the fact that Microsoft is
just about to launch Windows 8, an operating system that attempts to fawn on
the modern customer who is supposed to love “touch technology,” thus the
ability to paw the screen instead of using a mouse. WSJ recites among the reasons for what it calls a “tailspin”
competition from tablets and also bad economic times, including sluggish demand
in emerging economies. Both reasons are logical, but the bottom line is that the
personal computer is now a mature industry; its real market is not personal but business use; and its
likely future will have less to do with the growth of dollar output and more with growth in employment. The real motive for buying a computer is hiring a new
employee. The image, however, of the leading edge of the computer industry, viewed
generically, thus tablets and smart phones included, “cannibalizing,” as the Journal
puts it, the PC market, does suggest that mythic Uroboros.
Oil shortages lead to hidden conflicts–even war
3 weeks ago
Very interesting post and the delightful, visuals of the analogy you present are right on. What seems clear to me is the fact that computers are reverting to their more natural role of tool for work that requires calculations, industrial strength calculations. So, yes, for serious work as opposed to browsing the web and serving up entertainment.
ReplyDeleteWorth noting, however, is the fact that the very young these days expect screens to be interactive. I have on more than one occasion watched a youngster (under 8 years of age) try to interact with screen--a TV, computer monitor, or even screen on a camera--by fingering the screen. Clearly, entertainment device screens will probably all head the way of touch screen technology.
Right. And that would be the most efficient way too. But let's keep the big machines, like, working machines. Lot's of space...and, of course, power and speed!
DeleteAmen to that. In fact, the split between entertainment device and working machine should make each better at its mission.
Delete