This Ogre has four components. Those, and the estimated of
the impact of each, are shown in the following tabulation:
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The impact estimates come from the Wall Street Journal (May
16, 2012) citing J.P. Morgan economist Michael Feroli. In current journalistic
rounding, I find some putting it at anywhere between $560 to $600 billion.
Whatever. The total amounts to 3.4 percent of GDP, and one way to view that is
to apply it to one’s own personal income. If that income is, say $45,000, a 3.4
percent cut would translate to about $129 per month. Okay. Ouch. But a fiscal
cliff it is not.
Nor is it likely to take place as currently projected. What
the abrupt transition from Election Hype to Fiscal Cliff Hype indicates,
however, is that the media exist by promoting great clouds of anxiety. We must
seamlessly move from one to another. Therefore, predictably…
But as the election itself refreshingly revealed, the people
collectively have some sense. I say
that after every national election whether the people I supported win or lose.
Therefore the Fiscal Cliff will not cause a collective epileptic fit—except
among the pundits.
Thank you.
ReplyDeleteI can always count on you to place things into a larger and thus more complete context, provide perspective.