The October employment report (Bureau of Labor Statistics,
link), the last one before the elections next Tuesday, were quite favorable.
First of all, both August and September data were revised, upward, August by
50,000 and September by 33,000, so a gain of 83,000 over the last report. Then,
the change from these revised totals in October was an additional increase in
employment of 171,000. The chart follows. Revised months are marked in pale
red, October results in red.
This month we also, finally, crossed a symbolic border. We
have now recovered 51.2 percent of the total jobs lost in the 2008-2009 period.
It took almost three years to regain half
the jobs lost in two. But the direction is upward, however slowly. I show that
result in the next graphic.
These
numbers, ultimately, have little to do with who is in the White House or who
controls Congress. The Great Recession, however, may be blamed, at least in
part, on the Federal Government. It had loosened banking controls gradually and
thus “enabled” the mortgage bubble to develop. That disaster did not take place
under President Obama, however. But at the level of the Great Collective, which
struggles to display even the intelligence of a duck, we operate under odd
delusions…
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